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Recession 2024 Predictions Stock Market Today. We see a 25% chance of recession by the first half of 2024, 45% by the second half of 2024 and 60% by the first half of. See our analysis on what to expect in the coming months.

The s&p 500 (^gspc) climbed roughly 1.7%, while the dow rose more than 1.2%, with both indexes trading at record highs. Most of wall street agrees that the 2024 stock market outlook is largely dependent on whether the federal reserve.